Brazil is a key global player in the fight against climate change, actively formulating policies that acknowledge its economic impacts while promoting a just transition to a socially inclusive, greener, and more sustainable economy. In this context, the Brazilian government is pioneering the implementation of an ambitious green transition strategy, the Ecological Transformation Plan (ETP). The ETP aims to develop a comprehensive set of industrial policies and financial instruments to accelerate the greening of the economy without compromising production and employment.

Given the scale of investments required, the macroeconomic and sectoral impacts of the ETP must be rigorously assessed. To this end, the Brazilian Ministry of Finance (MoF), through OFÍCIO SEI Nº 3869/2024/MF, has requested support from the Coalition for Capacity on Climate Action (C3A), a World Bank supported program that provides capacity building, knowledge sharing, and analytical tools for climate-related policy analysis relevant to Ministries of Finance.

To model the impacts that the ETP will have in the Brazilian economy, it is proposed to use macroeconomic and sectoral models such as the Financial Sector Mitigation and Adaptation Tool (FSMAT), Energy-Environment-Economy Macro-Econometric Model (E3ME) and Future Technology Transformations (FTT). To support their implementation, the Brazilian MoF has provided a list of policies to be implemented in the under the ETP in the coming years, including monetary estimates where available.

The implementation of the E3ME model has been explicitly requested by the MoF, as currently it is one of the most advanced macroeconometric models available. With global coverage, a multisectoral structure, and direct integration between the economy, energy systems, and the environment, E3ME enables an assessment of sectoral impacts without losing sight of macroeconomic and environmental effects.

The service provider will contribute to this analysis by implementing the E3ME model to the Brazilian economy and testing the impact that the ETP would have, focusing on the sectoral aspects of the plan. The provider should be legally authorized to use the E3ME model, and all property rights of the materials created will be transferred to the World Bank at no cost.

SELECTION OF CONSULTING FIRMS BY THE WORLD BANK GROUP

REQUEST FOR EXPRESSION OF INTEREST (EOI)

Electronic Submissions through WBGeProcure RFx Now

ASSIGNMENT OVERVIEW

Assignment Title: Modelling the impact of the Ecological Transformation Plan in Brazil

Assignment Countries:

• Brazil

ASSIGNMENT DESCRIPTION

Brazil is a key global player in the fightagainst climate change, actively formulating policies that acknowledge its economicimpacts while promoting a just transition to a socially inclusive, greener, andmore sustainable economy. In this context, the Brazilian government ispioneering the implementation of an ambitious green transition strategy, theEcological Transformation Plan (ETP). The ETP aims to develop a comprehensiveset of industrial policies and financial instruments to accelerate the greeningof the economy without compromising production and employment.

Given the scale of investments required,the macroeconomic and sectoral impacts of the ETP must be rigorously assessed.To this end, the Brazilian Ministry of Finance (MoF), through OFÍCIO SEI Nº3869/2024/MF, has requested support from the Coalition for Capacity on ClimateAction (C3A), a World Bank supported program that provides capacity building,knowledge sharing, and analytical tools for climate-related policy analysisrelevant to Ministries of Finance.

To model the impacts that the ETP will havein the Brazilian economy, it is proposed to use macroeconomic and sectoralmodels such as the Financial Sector Mitigation and Adaptation Tool (FSMAT), Energy-Environment-EconomyMacro-Econometric Model (E3ME) and Future Technology Transformations (FTT). To supporttheir implementation, the Brazilian MoF has provided a list of policies to beimplemented in the under the ETP in the coming years, including monetaryestimates where available.

The implementation of the E3ME model hasbeen explicitly requested by the MoF, as currently it is one of the most advancedmacroeconometric models available. With global coverage, a multisectoral structure, anddirect integration between the economy, energy systems, and the environment,E3ME enables an assessment of sectoral impacts without losing sight ofmacroeconomic and environmental effects.

The service provider will contribute tothis analysis by implementing the E3ME model to the Brazilian economy andtesting the impact that the ETP would have, focusing on the sectoral aspects ofthe plan. The provider should be legally authorized to use the E3ME model, andall property rights of the materials created will be transferred to the WorldBank at no cost.

FUNDING SOURCE

The World Bank Group intends to finance the assignment / services described below under the following:

• BB: Bank Budget
• TF0C0923: CSF

SUBMISSION REQUIREMENTS

The World Bank Group invites eligible firms to indicate their interest in providing the services. Interested firms must provide information indicating that they are qualified to perform the services (brochures, description of similar assignments, experience in similar conditions, availability of appropriate skills among staff, etc. for firms; CV and cover letter for individuals). Please note that the total size of all attachments should be less than 5MB. Firms may associate to enhance their qualifications unless otherwise stated in the solicitation documents. Where a group of firms associate to submit an EOI, they must indicate which is the lead firm. If shortlisted, the firm identified in the EOI as the lead firm will be invited to the request for proposal (RFP) phase.

Expressions of Interest should be submitted, in English, electronically through WBGeProcure RFx Now

NOTES

Following this invitation for EOI, a shortlist of qualified firms will be formally invited to submit proposals. Shortlisting and selection will be subject to the availability of funding.

Only those firms which have been shortlisted will be invited to participate in the RFP phase. No notification or debrief will be provided to firms which have not been shortlisted.

If you encounter technical difficulties while uploading documents, please send an e-mail to the Help Desk at corporateprocurement@worldbank.org prior to the submission deadline.